Life Term Strategies

1. Huge Gains in Long Term
- Receive significant capital gains
- by investing in corporations
- (with wide economic moat & average peers’ net margin)
- In very very long term

2. Strong Periodic Cash Flow
- Maintain self-sufficient monthly cash flow
- Through dividend, gains on derivative & short term trading
- For re-investment to item # 1 mentioned above

3. Mind for Risk Management
- Ensure strong cash position
- Maintain low risk by continue monitor, analyze & feel:
economic trend & environment,
market condition & investors emotion
corporate performance & outlook
asset allocation & direction

4. Be a holy Christian investor:
- Invest in wisdom & varies ways, but consistent & not over nor under of what the Holy Bible expects a Jesus follower should be
- Keep regular & long term spiritual growth
Continue experience God @ finance market
Aim for life transform opportunities
- Even though it may not teach Billy & Bilibala what stocks to invest nor how to make more, more & more $

6.17.2009

China Life premium may 09

百花齐放才是春,中国人寿(25.09,-0.65,-2.53%)在济南市场上不再一家独大,并不是坏事,对我们保险消费者是好事,让我们有了更多的选择机会。竞争充分的保险市场,没有常胜将军,胜利只是暂时的,较量是永恒的。
  平安与国寿平起平坐?
  “在省内寿险市场上,最具有标本意义的城市是省城济南,这里聚集了全省所有的保险机构。今年夏天,这里的市场格局发生了变化。一家独大的中国人寿,正在被平安人寿慢慢迫近,甚至在局部,后者已经超过了前者。在保险业内,衡量一家保险公司业绩的一项关键指标是:保险代理人销售保单首年度实现的保费,即新增保费,简称FYP。它对公司地位和队伍士气影响重大。记者了解到,1-4月份,平安人寿济南分公司FYP 约1.33亿元,占比37% ,而中国人寿FYP约1.21亿元,占比约 34% 。时间回到 2008年,平安人寿全年的FYP 是2.76 亿元,而中国人寿则为2.99 亿元。中国人寿要略微超出平安。”
  6月7日本报刊登了《省城寿险市场不再“ 一家独大”》的新闻,看到“一家独大的中国人寿,正在被平安人寿慢慢迫近,甚至在局部,后者已经超过了前者”时,笔者感到吃惊,随后笔者从有关方面了解到的最新数据显示,到今年 5月19 日,中国人寿济南市分公司个人代理保费收入为 43235 万元,市场份额37.82% ;平安人寿济南分公司的个人代理保费收入为43388 万元,市场份额37.95% 。
  十年河东 十年河西
  其实,市场这个东西最难预料,十年河东,十年河西。上世纪90 年代时,平安人寿是济南市场的老大,而在2000 年,中国人寿山东省分公司及时调整了中国人寿济南市公司的领导班子,这一届领导班子把中国人寿在济南的市场份额一步一步提升,最终超越了平安人寿,稳稳坐上了老大的位子。但是,到了现在,为什么号称保险界“黄埔军校”的平安保险没有因为跳槽频繁而耽误发展,相反中国人寿济南市分公司的竞争优势变得不再明显呢?这确实是值得探讨的问题。
  数据不能说明一切问题,但数据肯定能说明部分问题。其实,我们不能只看到平安人寿的进步。太平洋(17.57,0.11,0.63%)人寿山东分公司近三年来,大力改变过去重团险业务不重个人代理业务的问题;改变过去重视农村市场,不重视中心城市特别是省城市场份额的争夺。太平洋人寿先是把山东分公司营业部改为太平洋人寿济南中心支公司(济南市分公司),又在市区内新开设三家支公司,太平洋人寿在济南市场的份额有了明显提高。而海康人寿山东分公司作为一家新公司,其个人代理保费收入在济南市场的份额也占到了1.78%。
  可以预料下一步,济南市场上的寿险份额争夺将更加激烈,因为目前有越来越多的寿险公司已经把目光放在济南本部上。笔者了解到,因为山东省各城市发展比较均衡,许多有势力的中小型寿险公司发展初期把精力放在了省会以外的其他城市,但随着公司品牌价值的提升和产品适销对路,在全省和济南市场显示了很强的竞争力。如新华人寿山东分公司个人代理保费收入在全省市场稳步提升的同时,在济南市场上也同比增长28.94% ,占省城市场份额的6.06% 。
  百花齐放才是春
  目前,很多中小寿险公司活跃在省城保险市场上,他们积极开发寿险新产品,在客户中逐渐树立起自己的品牌,被越来越多的消费者认可。而个别大公司到现在提起中小保险公司的保险产品时仍然不屑一顾,更有甚者保险代理人展业时诋毁中小寿险公司。其实,如果你只利用大公司的品牌优势,销售一些并不适合消费者的产品,到头来,这样的公司必将被消费者遗弃。
  百花齐放才是春,中国人寿在济南市场上不再一家独大,并不是坏事,对我们保险消费者是好事,让我们有了更多的选择机会。竞争充分的保险市场,没有常胜将军,胜利只是暂时的,较量是永恒的。

Bilibala's comments
China Life's premium dropped mainly due to
1) Ping An's prior year growth was slower and kind of like a catch up right now;
2) Switch in China Life's direction - to sell longer term insurance like 5 years or above instead of short term one between 3-5 years.

In long run, long term insurance contact should be more profitable than short term, because it involve less uncertainty and can set up more accurate assumptions on pricing the product.

So I think China Life is still in pretty good shape right now.

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