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7.31.2009

Econ data 09 week 31

USA
Overall
  • 2q09 GDP down -1.0% Q/Q from down 5.5% in 1q (better than expect -1.5%)
  • 2q09 GDP deflator up 0.2% Q/Q from 1.9% in 1q (better, 1.0%)
Consumer market
  • Jun durable orders down -2.5% from up 1.3% in May (worse, -0.6%)
  • Jun durable orders (ex-transport) up 1.1% from up 0.8% in May (better, 0.0%)
  • Jul consumer confidence down to 46.6 from 49.3 in Jun (worse, 49.0)
House market
  • Jun new home sales up to 384k from 346k in May (better, 352k)
  • May S&P/Case Shiller home price index down 17.1% Y/Y improved from -18.1% in Apr (better, -17.9%)
Job market
  • 07/25 jobless initial claims up to 584k from 559k last week (worse, 575k)
  • 2q09 employment cost index up 0.4% from 0.3% in 1q (better, 0.4%)
Upcoming
  • Jul unemployment rate => expect 9.6%
  • Jul nonfarm payroll job pos => expect up to -340k
Canada
Overall
  • May GDP down -0.5% M/M from -0.1% (worse, -0.1%)
Upcoming
  • Jul unemployment rate => expect 8.8%
  • Jul nonfarm payroll job pos => expect down to -20k

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