Life Term Strategies

1. Huge Gains in Long Term
- Receive significant capital gains
- by investing in corporations
- (with wide economic moat & average peers’ net margin)
- In very very long term

2. Strong Periodic Cash Flow
- Maintain self-sufficient monthly cash flow
- Through dividend, gains on derivative & short term trading
- For re-investment to item # 1 mentioned above

3. Mind for Risk Management
- Ensure strong cash position
- Maintain low risk by continue monitor, analyze & feel:
economic trend & environment,
market condition & investors emotion
corporate performance & outlook
asset allocation & direction

4. Be a holy Christian investor:
- Invest in wisdom & varies ways, but consistent & not over nor under of what the Holy Bible expects a Jesus follower should be
- Keep regular & long term spiritual growth
Continue experience God @ finance market
Aim for life transform opportunities
- Even though it may not teach Billy & Bilibala what stocks to invest nor how to make more, more & more $

1.19.2011

Wells Fargo 4q10 earning release

Bilibala: 4q10 EPS $0.61 sightly off than what I expected $0.63. Mainly because its net interest income $11.1B looks flat compare to 3q10. While loan provision down further by 14% to 3.0B, its non interest expenses also move up to 13.3B or 8%. Excluded the 0.4B of the expense related to a 3 years charible donation, expenses up 5%, still higher than expected.

To Bilibala, i think Wells Fargos price over book ratio 1.38 is higher than peers, and since price move up from around $25 (3 months ago) to $32 now, I will change my recommendation from Strong Buy to Buy.


http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE70I3FN20110119?feedType=nl&feedName=usbusinessearly



(Reuters) - Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) and U.S. Bancorp (USB.N) said low interest rates were squeezing lending profits, but improving credit quality helped both banks post higher fourth-quarter earnings.


Analysts and investors shrugged off the bottom-line figures and focused on the impact of low interest rates and a reluctance by businesses to tap their credit lines.


"It's a mixed bag looking at these banks," said analyst Shannon Stemm of Edward Jones in St. Louis. "There's improving fee income, but loan demand and interest income still remains weak."
Shares of Wells Fargo, the No. 4 U.S. bank by assets, fell 2 percent to $31.81, while U.S. Bancorp, the fifth-largest U.S. commercial bank, fell 2.9 percent to $26.52.


The banking industry is making more new loans to consumers and businesses.


U.S. Bancorp said average total loans increased 2 percent from a year earlier, and Wells Fargo said total loans grew 0.4 percent from the third quarter.


Analysts and economists have said an uptick in business borrowing is a key cog in the continuing economic recovery. But early fourth-quarter figures suggest businesses -- while taking out new loans -- are hesitant to use them.


U.S. Bancorp said companies were getting credit lines from the bank, but were not actively borrowing on them.


Commercial line utilization -- or the amount of money businesses borrowed under available credit -- fell to 26 percent in fourth quarter, an all-time low and down from 30 percent in the third quarter.


"We're looking forward to the day usage goes up," U.S. Bancorp Chief Executive Officer Richard Davis said on a conference call with analysts.


ASSET QUALITY
Analysts said that despite the slow loan growth, banks' balance sheets were beginning to show signs of health after three years of crisis and recession.


"The banks are building a foundation back to normal earnings," said Guggenheim Securities LLC analyst Marty Mosby. "Right now, asset quality has to get healthy, and that's happening at a much faster rate than I think a lot of us expected."


Wells Fargo's fourth-quarter profit increase stemmed in part from the release of $850 million in loan loss reserves, as the bank said its problem loans continued to shrink. Net charge-offs declined 29 percent from a year earlier.


U.S. Bancorp released $25 million in loan loss reserves during the period, the company's first such move since 2008.



Citigroup (C.N) also took a large reserve release in the fourth quarter, raising concerns among analysts about the quality of its results.


MARGIN PRESSURE
But improving credit did not offset the squeeze in net interest margin, or the money a bank receives in interest from loans against what it pays for deposits.


As the Federal Reserve continues to hold U.S. interest rates at record low levels, banks have little leeway on what they charge for loans and what they pay out for deposits.
Heading into 2011, both U.S. Bancorp and Wells Fargo said net interest margins would remain stagnant or shrink.


Davis said U.S. Bancorp's net interest margin of 3.83 percent, which declined from 3.91 percent in third quarter, would continue to contract at the same rate in the first three months of 2011.
Wells Fargo's net interest margin also shrank, to 4.16 percent from 4.25 percent in third quarter.
The bank posted a 21 percent increase in fourth-quarter profit to $3.4 billion, or 61 cents a share, meeting analysts' expectations, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.


U.S. Bancorp posted a 61 percent jump in net income. Earnings per share of 49 cents beat the analysts' average estimate by 3 cents.


Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK.O) and Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB.O) also reported results on Wednesday.


Hudson City beat expectations, but warned that net interest margins in 2011 may decline from fourth-quarter levels. Hudson shares sank 8.5 percent.


Fifth Third beat analysts' expectations, as delinquencies hit their lowest level in nearly four years. The bank also said it would launch a stock offering and use the proceeds to repay the aid it received under the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program.


(Reporting by Joe Rauch and Jonathan Spicer; writing by Ben Berkowitz and Joe Rauch; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn, John Wallace, Phil Berlowitz)

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